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Opta predicts chance of Sunderland promotion, Regis Le Bris can’t afford any slip-ups

January 27, 2025

Sunderland have been handed their chances of promotion to the Premier League this season.

The Black Cats have gone lengths this season to help maintain their promotion push, with Regis Le Bris’ side currently sat 4th in the Championship table.

Sunderland, despite their recent poor result against Plymouth Argyle, have shown their quality to be one of the best in the second tier, something that is a remarkable feat when realising that the likes of Leeds United, Sheffield United and Burnley are boosted with parachute payments.

As Sunderland go past the halfway stage of the 2024/25 Championship campaign, their chances of promotion have been rated compared to their rivals.

Sunderland given slim chance of automatic promotion as play-offs loom
The Black Cats, no matter where this season takes them from this point onwards, have drastically improved under French boss Le Bris.

Several of the players, particularly in the lower age bracket, have also come on leaps and bounds as a result of the Sunderland boss’ abilities to get the very best out of his side.

Whilst the draw against Plymouth Argyle, where Sunderland were unable to capitalise on Sheffield United’s home defeat to Hull City, saw the Pilgrims put a dent in the Black Cats’ promotion hopes, there is still a slim chance that the remarkable feat can be pulled off.

According to OPTA Analyst, Sunderland currently have a 9.44% chance of achieving automatic promotion, whilst also having an 89.12% chance of a play-off finish. That means that there is a short 1.44% likelihood of a finish below 6th in the table.

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